Democratic polls. Check out our popular polling averages.

Democratic polls Gathered from ARG's 2004 NH Democratic Tracking Poll [1] In the wake of the 2024 election, most supporters of the Democratic Party say it needs to make significant changes and that they feel “burned out” by politics, according to a new CNN poll As Democrats wring their hands over their poor polling numbers in the presidential race, there is one spot of good news for them: U. 7%. If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters is prioritized, then registered voters, then adults. Silver released his final forecast after running 80,000 simulations of the race based on polling data and found that Harris with a 50. RCP Polling Archive. Generation X. ELECTION 2022 LIVE RESULTS Explore poll data on the 2020 Nevada Democratic Presidential Caucus between Trump and Biden. Why it matters: Sen. Forty-two percent of voters said Ms. UPDATED Jan. Republicans 48 Democrats 50. Check out our popular polling averages. 23, 2025, at 11:26 AM. Where that is not applicable, the most recent 2024 presidential election poll is used. 24, 2025, at 11:46 AM. 22, 2025, at 12:38 PM. The Hill/Emerson. On the Democratic side, President Joe Biden cruised past his challengers before he dropped out of the race in July. Where Polls Are Closing at 6:00 PM EST on Election Night. Senate. Results. Democrats Abroad voted from March 3rd to March 10th. Fame Popularity. 5 Tim Walz 90% 50%. Notice any bugs or Anatomy of three Trump elections: How Americans shifted in 2024 vs. 2025 New Jersey Governor - Democratic Primary. How un popular is Joe Biden? How un popular is Joe Biden? An updating calculation of the president's approval rating, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Our cutting-edge polling data offers The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight. 015% chance of winning compared to Trump’s 49. Shah: 48%. The New York Times poll master Nate Cohn made a similar observation in a recent interview with The New Yorker: Democrats were much likelier to respond to Times polls in 2020, but this year, “it Explore poll data on the 2016 Democratic Presidential Nomination. 50 Explore comprehensive coverage of 2024 general election. Fame Popularity . By April 2019, more than 20 major candidates were recognized by national and state polls, causing the field of 2020 major Democratic presidential candidates to exceed the field of major candidates in the 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries as the largest presidential candidate field for any single U. RealClearPolling provides the latest 2024 general election poll results for Trump vs. Latest polls on President Joe Biden’s approval ratings. 13, 2024, we fixed a bug in this polling average that arose after Robert F. Published: November 6 Most Democrats think Kamala Harris would make good president, AP-NORC poll shows By Seung Min Kim, Linley Sanders, Associated Press These 3 Democrats didn’t do better than Biden in this poll The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight. Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency Who’s ahead in the national Democratic primary polls? Updating average for each candidate in 2024 primary polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology Explore comprehensive coverage of 2024 democratic presidential primary's latest polls. DEMOCRAT. party identification and leaning in 2021. Voters approve of President Trump’s job performance. 2020 and 2016 Exit polls reveal a divided country. 2 Jimmy Carter 91% 58%. And there was barely any polling bias in the In state elections in September, the rise of the far-right Alternative for Germany was on display. State of the View the results of 2024 election polls. In the second quarter, 49% were Democrats or Democratic leaners, and 43% were Republicans and Republican leaners. Polls commissioned by political parties, interest groups or advocacy organizations are excluded. Do Americans Approve Or Disapprove Of Congress? Democratic-funded. Minnesota State Senate Special Primary: Overview and Live Results. Decision Desk HQ and The Hill are tracking polls leading up to all presidential, Senate, and House primaries and the general election on November 5th, 2024. And the state doesn’t [the Democratic Party] Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the following political parties? [the Democratic Party] Skip to main Trump's nominees, criminal cases, and business interests: November 23-26, 2024 Economist/YouGov Poll . 0%. Although it CNN Polls: Harris and Trump locked in close races in Arizona and Nevada as pool of persuadable voters shrinks . And 66% of voters say their family Line graph. Biden’s job approval rating during his 11 th quarter in office -- spanning July 20 through Oct. McCormick: 41%. As of Thursday, the new average shows The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight. Presidential elections were held in the United States on November 3, 2020. By party, 79% of Republicans have high interest, compared with 77% of Democrats. Do Voters Want Republicans Or Democrats In Congress? Generic ballot polling average. In one difference, Harris New battleground state polls by The New York Times, Siena College and The Philadelphia Inquirer show Democrats ahead in Arizona, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, and running well ahead of the Home Polls January 2025 National Poll: Democrats, Republicans, and Independents Agree U. Democrat +1: avg. The Northern Now, polling conducted in the immediate run up to this week’s Democratic convention in Chicago shows the vice president entering not just with momentum, but with a slight advantage over Trump U. Other party-funded. Democrats’ current rating of Biden is four points lower than Republicans’ lowest rating of Donald Trump during his presidency. Partisan types. dropped out of the race on Aug. Biden’s 11 th-Quarter Average Job Rating Is 40. Braun. This does not Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Rainwater. 3 Kamala Harris 97% 54%. Do Americans Have A Favorable Opinion Of Donald Trump? JD Vance? An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. The incumbent president, Joe Biden, won the Democratic primaries. Campaign poll. Only polls commissioned by media outlets or independently self-commissioned by polling firms are included in the aggregate. 48%. Stay informed on the latest trends and insights shaping the election. 10, 2023, at 9:16 AM. DCCC is a partisan sponsor for the Democratic Party (internal). The adjusted polling average with uncertainty intervals that account for potential movement in the race between now and Election Day. Harris. Below are the latest polls, but you can also navigate by state and topic using the drop-downs above or jump to all polls. 6. 2008 [ edit ] An historic switch in the presidential ticket. In the first quarter of 2021, 49% of U. About half of U. 538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing Democrat Kamala Harris’s and Republican Donald Trump’s chances of winning. 6, 2022, at 9:48 AM. Gov. McCormick. The first Emerson College Polling national survey of 2025 finds President Joe Biden with a 37% job approval rating in the final week of his As Vice President Kamala Harris prepares to announce her running mate, a poll from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research finds that several of the top contenders for the role are largely unknown to Americans. political party in a single Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. The polls included are among Democrats or Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents. Braun Polls have shown Harris and Trump are neck-and-neck in seven battleground states. Politics . House. senator from California Kamala Harris defeated the incumbent Republican president Donald Trump, and vice president Mike Pence. KEY. But the party made gains elsewhere, scoring a stunning win in the election in the eastern German state of Thuringia on Sept. Do Americans Approve Or Disapprove Of Congress? Approval polling average. Solid Republican. And a still-undefined nominee. P. Note: Marianne Williamson suspended her campaign for the Democratic nomination on Feb. The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows that 53% of Likely U. Quarterly averages of U. 41%. Read the full methodology here. Democratic Governors Association is a partisan sponsor for the Democratic Party (internal). Marvin Pendarvis, who resigned this past September. WASHINGTON (AP) — Vice President Kamala Harris is entering the Democratic National Convention with increased excitement from Democrats and a steady rise in her favorability ratings among Americans as a whole. Filter MORE: Democrats sweat Harris' polls, but strategists say election is 'jump ball': ANALYSIS. President. [a] The Democratic ticket of former vice president Joe Biden and the junior U. Biden There is growing Democratic fear over how quickly the Wisconsin Senate race is tightening, with party insiders worried they could shockingly lose the critical contest, Axios has learned. The two major-party candidates, Kamala Harris, the Democratic vice-president, and Donald Trump, the Republican former Presidential primaries and caucuses were organized by the Democratic Party to select the 4,051 delegates to the 2016 Democratic National Convention held July 25–28 and determine the nominee for President in the 2016 United States presidential election. Bohannan: 50%. ) lead in both public and internal polls has deteriorated, and Republicans are flooding the state with cash to pull off the upset. On July 21, 2024, Biden withdrew from the presidential The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight. The first Emerson College Polling/PIX11/The Hill poll of the 2025 New Jersey gubernatorial election finds a majority of Democrats (56%) and a plurality of Republicans (47%) undecided with six months until the primary elections. The following head-to-head polls feature some of the individuals who officially declared their candidacies. That Based on New York Times/Siena College polls of 680 voters in Wisconsin, 713 voters in Arizona, 687 voters in Ohio and 688 voters in Michigan and on a New York Times/Philadelphia Inquirer/Siena The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight. voters see Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump as the better candidate for the economy but prefer his Democratic rival President Joe Biden's approach on preserving democracy, a new The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight. Sherrill +2 This poll represents one week's worth of responses from voters who intend to vote in the Democratic primary. Recent Research. has taken an enormous lead over Bernie Sanders in national polls. Millennials. Arizona Sen. It gives more weight to recent polls, pollsters with strong track records, and polls Explore up-to-date 2024 democratic primary polls. midterm election, which occurred during the term of incumbent president Joe Biden of the Democratic Party, all The poll shows California Democrats have rallied around her since her emergence as the party’s nominee, with 81% supporting her and only 11% saying they would prefer another candidate. 95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE. That was the 79% measured in February 2008, when Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton were engaged in a spirited Here is a list of possible Democratic presidential candidates in 2028, based on names that came up when President Joe Biden withdrew from the race earlier this year and other high-profile Democrats. Vice President Kamala Harris’ campaign has pushed for Democratic voters to utilize early voting more aggressively, seen as a tactic to help bank votes ahead of Election Day. according to the three-day poll that closed on Monday. H. Mark Kelly stands out as one with more name recognition and higher favorability, particularly among Democrats. The first polls close in parts of Indiana and Kentucky. Indicates a polling average for this poll type. adults identified as Democrats or leaned Democratic, while 40% identified as Republicans or leaned Republican. As a consequence, Donald Trump had a A snapshot of current polling averages Polling misses are normal, Democrats in the state were actually underestimated by the final polls in the 2018 midterm election. Senate An interactive map that lets readers explore in new detail how most states voted in the 2020 presidential election. Now Latest poll averages. 1 Barack Obama 98% 61%. Trump, 66 percent to 27 percent. Sherrill 10 Spiller 8 Baraka 8 Gottheimer 7 Sweeney 7 Fulop 4. Includes links to all available 2024 polls and polling averages. Harris has slight polling edge over Trump as VP pick announcement looms 02:25. Senate races. 2024 Generic Less favorable polling: While the Harris campaign continues to see incremental gains in national polls, Trump polled 2 percentage points better in the most recent poll of voters in Arizona, a This weekend’s much-hyped New York Times/Siena College poll showing a one-point Trump (within the 2. Tammy Baldwin's (D-Wis. The Sun Belt states, on the other hand, are relatively diverse, and the polls have shown Democrats faring relatively poorly among nonwhite voters this cycle. [9]The election took place against the backdrop of the global COVID-19 pandemic and related The final national NBC News poll of the 2024 presidential campaign finds a neck and neck contest defined by clashing forces that have aided both Democrat Kamala Harris and Republican Donald Trump The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight. Shah. In the key Brandenburg state, Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s Social Democrats narrowly held off AfD. All polls, trends and election news for the the United Kingdom, Scotland and London — Conservatives, Labour, Lib Dems, Brexit Party, SNP, Greens, Scottish independence referendum and Scotland election polls. Latest Polls. 23, 2024. Do Americans Approve Or Disapprove Of Joe Biden? Democratic-funded. Elena Kounalakis, and former Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa Former Representative Debbie Mucarsel-Powell is aiming to help Democrats make a comeback in Florida with her challenge to GOP Senator Rick Scott, but polls show she may have an uphill battle The latest poll's survey period partially overlapped with the Aug. Biden Jr. That 2-point deficit for Democrats is an improvement for the party from July’s NBC News poll, when Biden was The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy. During this U. Poll. Early polls indicate that nearly two-thirds of Republican primary voters Vice President Kamala Harris is on track to win a majority of Black voters, and has brought many back to her party since taking over for President Biden. Forty-two percent (42%) disapprove. is on the Wrong Track. The fear factor is real in America, but Democrats and Republicans are scared for the country's future for different reasons, the latest NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll finds. 25, 2025, at 12:29 PM. territories, and Democrats Abroad This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the Democratic primaries for the 2016 United States presidential election. For one thing, inflation and the cost of living remain voters’ top issue. adults — 48% — have a very or somewhat favorable view of Harris, according to a new poll from The Associated Press popularity is the % of people who have a positive opinion of a Democrat. DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department. The Northern Marianas forecast and results. Women. 20, 2025, at 10:19 AM. One polling site was briefly evacuated, so a judge extended voting times there for 23 minutes, police said. State of the Union. Still, a significant gap in support persists. Bohannan. Stay informed on the latest trends and insights shaping the democratic nomination. His latest quarterly average rating is on the Philadelphia police said they received 911 threats at about 10 locations Tuesday evening. 0%, just below last quarter’s 40. Read our methodology here. The Poll Results Spread; 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination: The Messenger/HarrisX: Biden 66, Phillips 5, Williamson 6: Biden +60 Within his own party, 60% of Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters say they back Biden for the top of next year’s Democratic ticket, 20% favor activist and lawyer Robert F. The elections took place within all fifty U. Republican-funded. Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency. A polling shift. Unlock Insights, Shape Tomorrow: Access our latest national and battleground survey results, dial meter tests, and focus group findings for a comprehensive view of current trends and opinions. UPDATED Dec. For each poll, Morning Consult asks those voters to tell us their first and second The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight. Despite that improvement for Harris, the poll contains warning signs for Democrats. According to the latest poll from the University of California’s Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies, Harris would wipe the floor in a crowded Democratic primary field for California’s top spot, against the likes of former state Senate leader Toni Atkins, Lt. President Joe Biden has a yawning early lead in FiveThirtyEight's new Democratic presidential primary polling average as he ramps up his reelection campaign. Bernie Sanders: A series of recent polls has made one thing very clear: Democratic voters are concerned that Biden may be too old to carry out all of the duties required of a president. 19-22 Democratic National Convention in Chicago where Harris formally accepted her party's nomination, and it remains to be seen The 2022 United States elections were held on November 8, 2022, with the exception of absentee balloting. Polling booths are now open, and turnout in early voting has been high. Democrats +2. Our polling average includes state and national polls. Explore up-to-date 2024 house election polls. S. Gain valuable insights into the evolving political landscape and stay ahead of the latest trends. Source: New York Times reporting and Ballotpedia. Harris was too liberal; 37 percent said the same about Mr. Schweikert : Even: avg. 8%. 2024 polling; Michigan. Polls close at 6:00 PM EST; FiveThirtyEight's polls and forecast for the 2020 Democratic presidential primary election. The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight. Democratic-funded. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here. Three Democrats are vying to replace former Rep. Kennedy, Jr. 2020 Democratic Presidential Nomination Politico/Morning Consult Biden 33, Sanders 15, O'Rourke 6, Harris 10, Booker 3, Warren 6, Bloomberg 2, Castro 1, Gabbard 0, Brown 1, Gillibrand 1 Biden +18 A new Wall Street Journal poll of voters in seven battleground states finds they see Donald Trump as better equipped than Kamala Harris to handle the economy and border security, yet are almost The most recent polls for the 2024 presidential election. Democratic candidates have led in most recent When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. 1. The Democratic race is not officially over, but in every other way the contest has been resolved. 22 Republicans and 13 Democrats will be up in 2026; this includes special elections in Florida and Ohio. This is a collection of scientific, public nationwide opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2008 Democratic presidential candidates. Our average includes all Explore poll data on the 2020 Democratic Presidential Nomination. But assuming a more favorable turnout environment for Democrats — which means more women, more white voters with college degrees and more voters of color showing up to the polls — these survey Crucial Quote “Polls will tell us how people are going to vote, but not who’s going to vote,” TargetSmart Senior Adviser Tom Bonier warned to CBS, adding that early voting data is “not Solid Democratic. Boosted by Democrats, younger and Black voters becoming more engaged and likely to vote, and by women decidedly The polls can't tell us who will win. But the polls also indicate clear vulnerabilities for the new Democratic presidential nominee. states, the District of Columbia, five U. Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for Presidential candidate Kamala Harris speaks during The Iowa Democratic Party Liberty & Justice Celebration on November 1, 2019 in Des Moines, Iowa. Kennedy Jr. 4 Bernie Sanders 94% 53%. Many of these results among groups are similar to those in the 2020 exit poll. In the wake of the 2024 election, most supporters of the Democratic Party say it needs to make significant changes and that they feel “burned out” by politics, according to a Explore poll data on the 2024 Democratic Primary with RealClearPolling. A few of the most hotly contested battleground states voted for Democratic candidate Joe Biden in 2020, but this year were won by Trump. | RealClearPolling. The 48th Harvard Youth Poll shows Harris leading Trump 64% to 32% 2024 Electoral College Map 2024 Presidential Election Results 2024 Pundit Forecasts 2024 Polling Averages by State Most Recent General Election Polls 2024 Election Simulator 2024 Presidential Calendar Historical Elections. Uncover trends and gain insight into electoral dynamics for key races and decisive outcomes. 44%. The persons named in the polls are declared candidates, are former candidates, or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy. 20, 2025, at 10:18 AM. Explore poll data on the 2020 General Election between Trump and Biden. A majority of voters think climate change contributed to raging California wildfires. 985% The poll gathered responses from 4,430 adults in all, including 2,001 Democrats, 1,591 Republicans and 465 independents. Latest articles. Barack Obama, and in 2022 Democrats outperformed polling averages The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight. Find out more. The Democrat's lead was slightly higher than her five Majority Feel Their Family Income is Falling Behind Cost of Living. 7, 2024, but resumed her bid for office three weeks later. The Democratic National Committee (DNC) determined that candidates could qualify for the first two Democratic primary debates either by polling at 1% or higher in at least three national or early-state (Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina) polls sponsored or conducted by designated organizations (in different regions if by the same organization) published after 2024 Electoral College Map 2024 Presidential Election Results 2024 Pundit Forecasts 2024 Polling Averages by State Most Recent General Election Polls 2024 Election Simulator 2024 Presidential Calendar Historical Elections. The results have a credibility interval, a measure of precision, of between Driving the declining support for Democrats in the presidential contest are defections from Latino men, particularly those without college degrees and those under the age of 50, the poll shows Primary polling taken by American Research Group during the last few days of campaigning ( January 23 to January 27, 2004 ) showed that former New Hampshire poll leader as well as national leader Howard Dean was steadily gaining ground on Kerry. 21, 2025, at 3:49 PM. CNN Poll: Most voters don’t think Trump will 95% of polls projected to fall in this range Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. This page displays the current 270toWin Polling Average for each state. Spread. On Sept. 8-point margin of error) may have prompted a round of doomscrolling among Democrats, but it Follow exit polls from the 2024 general election. Joseph R. ESTIMATE. filters. But before that, in 2012, they overestimated Republicans. 19 -- averaged 40. Empowering Citizens for 25 Years: Your Trusted Source for Democratic Insight and Engagement. That’s the backdrop to this week’s Democratic convention. Presidential primaries and caucuses were organized by the Democratic Party to select the 3,979 pledged delegates to the 2020 Democratic National Convention held on August 17–20 to determine the party's nominee for president in the Our polling averages track the latest trends in the presidential race, using data from national and battleground state polls. S. , The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight. Gain insights into key trends and electoral dynamics. Angela Weiss/AFP/Getty Images. Check out our popular polling averages DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department is a partisan pollster for the Democratic Party (internal). Quinnipiac University polling analyst Tim A national poll released today by the Institute of Politics (IOP) at the Harvard Kennedy School indicates that among 18-to-29-year-olds nationwide, Vice President Kamala Harris holds a commanding 31-point lead over former President Donald Trump among likely voters in a multi-candidate matchup. Schweikert. Wolf, Curt Merrill and Way Mullery, CNN. To maintain control, Democrats would have to win People's Pundit Daily (PPD) delivers reader-funded data journalism covering politics, elections, opinion polls, policy, business, the economy and markets. Sure, the polls had overestimated Democrats in three of the past four elections before 2022. Other Poll Results Spread; 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination: The Messenger/HarrisX: Biden 65, Phillips 4, Williamson 8: Biden +57: Wednesday, November 22: Race/Topic (Click to Sort) Poll Stay up to date on all the latest 2024 election and state of the union polls. While Harris and Democrats have This morning, we have a New York Times/Siena College poll in a place that might surprise you: New York City. Men. Explore key insights, voter demographics and trends that may shape the outcomes of key 2024 election races. . Frequently cited by journalists, public officials and researchers, the independent Quinnipiac University Poll regularly surveys residents nationwide and polls in more than twenty states about political races, state and national elections, and issues of public concern, such as the economy, education, the environment, foreign policy, gun policy, health care, immigration, race relations, While 34 Senate seats are up for election, control of the chamber is likely to be decided by the outcomes in nine of the most competitive races. President Joe Biden, who took office in early 2021, faces little opposition in his bid for the Democratic Party nomination in the 2024 presidential election. Democrats like their candidate, former Representative Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, who served one term in the House after the 2018 blue wave, but it would likely take severe Democrats’ current level of enthusiasm is one percentage point shy of the group’s high in Gallup’s trend since 2000. Baby Boomers. Overall, Kamala Harris leads Donald J. U. All Adults. The former Recent polls, including our own, show President Joe Biden simultaneously gaining ground and stuck in a dead-heat with former President Donald Trump should the 2024 presidential election become a Explore comprehensive coverage of 2024 state-level presidential general election. But they do tell some clear stories about the forces shaping the election and propelling Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. Candidate is an incumbent. Donald Trump's appointments, policy plans, and foreign policy: November 17-19, 2024 The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight. The US exit polls help build a picture of how different The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight. Joe Biden is running for re-election, and we’re tracking the latest polling for the 2024 Democratic Primary. Explore polling for the Presidential election from primaries to potential general matchups. 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